According to the report JobSpeak released by Naukri.com, India’s No.1 Job Site, the Overall Job Index in October 2008 is 781 as compared to 1000 in July 2008 indicating a decline of almost 21.9%. Historically, there is a seasonal decline in October which is around 10% as recruitment slows down due to the festive season, this year the slowdown in hiring has been sharper affecting new jobs by 21.9%. The index suggests that companies are scaling back their recruitment plans due to the global financial crisis and the current economic conditions.
JobSpeak indicates the industries that have seen a growth/decline in new jobs. Over the past three months, Real Estate, Banking, Finance, IT and Retailing show a decline; while Telecom, Pharma and Hospitality emerge as attractive options. Some niche sectors, like Government, Defence and Legal have gained attractiveness in recent months.
The index has been calculated based on new jobs added to the site month on month. July 2008 has been taken on a base of 1000 and August, September and October index is compared with the July data.
City-wise Analysis
Metros saw a dip in the supply of new jobs. Besides the impact of the slowdown, Diwali and Dussehra are popular festivals across India, which impact hiring to a considerable extent.
Metros that are the bulk provider of jobs witnessed a decline in new jobs to the tune of 25% in comparison to the usual 10% in earlier festive seasons. In the Delhi – NCR region, new jobs fell sharply after maintaining stability in Aug and Sep. The job index for Delhi fell from 1000 to 786. Mumbai witnessed a higher setback in the month of Oct as compared to Sep and Aug, the job index fell from 1000 to 715 in October 2008 as compared to July 2008. Bangalore, the IT hotspot, has lost new jobs since Jul, especially in Aug which saw a decline of close to 20% as compared to Sep. Chennai saw a marginal increase in new job creation during Sep, however October saw a fall to the tune of 10%. Hyderabad and Pune bore the brunt of the slowdown especially in the IT sector and witnessed a decline of over 15% in new jobs during October. Jobs in Kolkata were severely affected with October alone witnessing a decline in new jobs by over 32%. Chandigarh, affected to an extent by the IT industry slowdown, saw a slowdown in hiring to the tune of 35% since July.
Industry Analysis
IT – both the Software and Hardware sector saw a dip in new jobs by almost 25% since July this year. Banking and Financial Services have seen a decline of over 32% in October, while Construction and Engineering have seen a decline in new jobs by almost 22% since July 2008. The Telecom industry which was looking up in August and September had seen an increase in jobs, while October witnessed a dip of 17% indexed to July. The fluctuation could be owing to the festive season.
Interestingly, the BPO industry has witnessed a slight bounce back by 10% in October after witnessing a decline in new jobs in August and September. The Pharma Industry has been comparatively less affected with a fall in the index of less than 15%. Niche sectors like Government and legal have seen an increase in new jobs.
Functional area Analysis
Across most functional areas and departments, the decline in new job creation has been to the tune of 15-20%. The slowdown has trickled down to most functional areas in October with Sales, Business Development, Project Management, Banking – Insurance, Marketing and HR professionals seeing a decline in online availability of new jobs. September had been a more positive month with Sales, HR, Marketing seeing a marginal increase in availability of new jobs. In October, new job creation for Project Managers and Sales and Business Development Executives fell by a huge margin, indicating the low business sentiment in the market. IT- Software and Banking professionals saw a drastic decrease in online availability of new jobs during October.
Methodology Adopted
The data has been sourced from Naukri.com and is reflective of the new job listings added on the site month on month. Jobs have been categorised by location, functional area and industry. The index has been calculated across Cities/ Functional Area - Deptt / Industry verticals.
On basis of new job listings added to the site every month, the data shows an increase or decline in the jobs. To calculate the index, jobs in July have been taken on a base of 1000. The August, September and October data has been indexed against July.
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